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Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/3/2025

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaren Jackson Jr. has sunk a terrific 50.2% of his shot attempts from the field this year, a significant increase from his 44.1 mark last year.

Among all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. registers in the 78th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 29.4 minutes per game this year.

This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on threes (best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup.

The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaren Jackson Jr. has tallied 3.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (100th percentile).

The Grizzlies will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Heat).

In contrast to last season's 5.1 rate, Jaren Jackson Jr.'s foul shots hit have dropped this season to 4.3 per game.

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Jaren Jackson Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

More Jaren Jackson Jr. Player Props

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