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Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-112/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Jaren Jackson Jr. has made 49.2% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 12.1% more than he's made in all games this season while playing at home.Out of all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. measures in the 75th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 28.8 minutes per game at home this year.This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 5.6 three attempts per game (most in the league) against the Lakers, making this a strong matchup.The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Jaren Jackson Jr. has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.In regard to treys, the Memphis Grizzlies's unimpressive 34.4% rate of converted threes comes in as the 5th-weakest in the NBA over the last 15 games.The Lakers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.In comparison to last season's 5.1 mark, Jaren Jackson Jr.'s free throws drained have decreased this season to 4.3 per game.Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.
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