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Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted an impressive 50.5% of his shots from the field this season, significantly more than his 44.1 mark last season.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 29.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
  • This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, branding this as a positive matchup.
  • The quickest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
  • The Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. comes in at the 100th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 3.4 fouls per game this year.
  • The Kings have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Memphis Grizzlies.
  • Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production across the board.

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