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Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2025

Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted 8.1 buckets per game this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted 62.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 25.6% higher than he's made overall this season playing at home.
  • This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 43.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, resulting in a strong matchup.
  • The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
  • The Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
  • Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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