Jaren Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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Jaren Jackson Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 2:35 AM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. rates in the 92nd percentile, registering a colossal 21.5 points per game this year.
Jaren Jackson Jr. has successfully made 51.6% of his field goal attempts without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. rates in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 3.3 fouls per game this year.
The matchup against New Orleans is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the New Orleans Pelicans have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 5th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.4).
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.
Jaren Jackson Jr. stands to experience a decrease in performance for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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