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Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/3/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. places in the 92nd percentile, compiling a whopping 22.4 points per game this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a good one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the most shot attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).
  • The quickest pace visiting team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
  • The Grizzlies check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. slots into the 94th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 3.0 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
  • In regard to three-pointers, the Memphis Grizzlies's feeble 34.3% rate of converted threes settles in as the 8th-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Mavericks are at home (3rd-least in the league).
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. figures to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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