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Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 18.0 shots per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.Jaren Jackson Jr. has made 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while at home.Among all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. slots into the 82nd percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 31.5 minutes per game this year.With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Grizzlies.The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Jaren Jackson Jr. has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (100th percentile).Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PFs have logged 15.8 points per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, making this a tough matchup for offensive efficiency.The Grizzlies have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have nabbed 15.0 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (maintaining possessions that can bring about added opportunities for offense).
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