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Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has logged 21.3 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 90th percentile.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Jaren Jackson Jr. places in the 77th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, averaging 4.9 per game this year.
  • Among all players in the league, Jaren Jackson Jr. places in the 78th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 30.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
  • When it comes to 3-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA as the away team over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
  • The 8th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 12th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.7).
  • The Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies rank 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
  • The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
  • This year, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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