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Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 15.4 field goals per game this season, significantly higher than his 13.1 rate last season.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league while playing away from home this year.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are on their home court, the other team has collected 10.3 offensive boards per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets (losing possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted a whopping 4.9 free throws per game this season, quite a bit more than his 3.9 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
  • In regard to scoring, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 108.7 points per game playing at home comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year.
  • The matchup against Houston is a challenging one for threes; when the Houston Rockets are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 14th-least shots from downtown per game in the league since the start of last season (1.1).
  • The Rockets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should decrease possessions for the Grizzlies.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. stands to see a decline in efficiency for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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