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Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 18.9 points per game away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the best in the NBA in this category.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league playing at home this year.
  • The Grizzlies have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has attempted 7.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has averaged 3.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
  • With respect to treys, the Memphis Grizzlies's subpar 35.0% rate of drained threes away from their home court settles in as the 4th-fewest in the NBA since the start of last season.
  • This matchup is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team has totaled the 9th-most three attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (35.5).
  • Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 26.8% on threes (14th-weakest in the league) against the Heat, making this a tough matchup.

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