Jaren Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Jaren Jackson Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to his full-season clip of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1), Jaren Jackson Jr.'s points per game have risen by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 10 games.
Jaren Jackson Jr. has played 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's played overall this season.
This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have shot 49.0% on field goal attempts (26th-best in the league) against the Pelicans, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jaren Jackson Jr. has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (99th percentile).
In terms of threes, the Grizzlies's unimpressive 35.2% rate of drained threes when playing at home places 4th-lowest in the league this year.

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