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Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points
Player Prop - 4/28/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has scored 26.8 points per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 8.3 higher than he's scored overall this year on the road.
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.7 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.
  • The matchup against the Lakers is a good one; they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 10 games (19.5).
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league away from their home court this year.
  • The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Grizzlies.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (100th percentile).
  • The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
  • While at home, the Lakers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jaren Jackson Jr. will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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