Jaren Jackson Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2023

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Jaren Jackson Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr.

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs · Jan 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaren Jackson Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-175/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted 7.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Jaren Jackson Jr. has converted 43.9% of his three-point shots with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (which can also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Spurs is a good one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a whopping 22.4 free throws per game this year (6th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Jaren Jackson Jr. has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The matchup against the Spurs is a difficult one for threes; the other team have posted the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (39.1%).
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

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