Jamir Watkins Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2025

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Jamir Watkins

NBA · Player Props

Jamir Watkins

F · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 29, 2025

Updated Dec 29, 2025 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Jamir Watkins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-137/-137).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to scoring, the Washington Wizards's stellar 49.2% field goal rate with the home court advantage comes in as the 7th-best in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 41.1% on threes (8th-highest in the league) against the Suns, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league at home this year.

Favors Under

The Wizards are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from competing against the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Suns).
The Wizards have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, struggling to draw fouls.

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