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James Harden

James Harden Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/29/2023

Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
James Harden Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -139.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Clippers will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Kings).
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • The Kings have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • James Harden has averaged a mere 0.2 offensive rebounds per game this season, quite a bit less than his 0.7 offensive rebounds per game last season.
  • James Harden has been on the court for a mere 32.4 minutes per game this year, significantly lower than his 36.7 minutes per game last year.
  • James Harden has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this season.
  • The Clippers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA on their home court this year.
  • James Harden will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player performance for all stats.

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