James Harden Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2026

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James Harden

NBA · Player Props

James Harden

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 5, 2026

Updated Apr 5, 2026 10:08 PM EST

Analysis

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-129/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to offense, the Cleveland Cavaliers's superb 123.0 points per game rates 3rd-most in the league over the last 10 games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 5th-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Indiana Pacers).

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 4.6 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The 8th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 6thworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Pacers, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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