James Harden Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2025

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James Harden

NBA · Player Props

James Harden

G · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 28, 2025

Updated Dec 29, 2025 4:20 AM UTC

Analysis

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 22.5 mark, James Harden's points per game have jumped this season to 26.3.
In regard to shooting, the LA Clippers's superb 48.9% field goal rate playing at home measures as the 6th-strongest in the league this year.
The Clippers will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 8th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Detroit Pistons).
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.7 free throws per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have shot 37.4% on shots from the field (2nd-weakest in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, identifying this as a tough matchup.
The LA Clippers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Clippers grade out 3rdworst in in the league with just 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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