James Harden Points - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2025

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James Harden

NBA · Player Props

James Harden

G · LA Clippers

Points

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets · May 1, 2025

Updated May 2, 2025 2:03 AM UTC

Analysis

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-103/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 6.9 mark, James Harden's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this year to 8.3 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, James Harden measures in the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 34.9 minutes per game at home this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
James Harden has successfully made a terrific 6.3 foul shots per game this season, a big improvement over his 4.2 mark last season.
The matchup against the Nuggets may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the league).

Favors Under

In terms of 3-pointers, the LA Clippers's lackluster 12.5 converted threes per game places 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Denver is a tough one for three-point attempts; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.5).
The 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the LA Clippers.
The LA Clippers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

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