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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 4/29/2025

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-108/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has attempted 19.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
  • James Harden has averaged 41.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 more than he's averaged overall this season.
  • The LA Clippers check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.
  • James Harden has made a terrific 6.3 free throws per game this year, significantly more than his 4.2 rate last year.
  • Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for threes; when the Denver Nuggets are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (20.5%).
  • The LA Clippers have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The LA Clippers will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).
  • The LA Clippers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • James Harden stands to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories due to being on the road in this matchup.

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