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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2025

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has attempted 8.5 3-point shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 6.9 mark last year.
  • James Harden has tallied 41.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
  • The LA Clippers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.
  • Relative to last year's 4.2 rate, James Harden's foul shots hit have jumped this year to 6.3 per game.
  • Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 5.6 free throws per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against Denver is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Nuggets are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).
  • The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Clippers.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the LA Clippers.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 3rdworst in in the NBA with just 9.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

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