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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 4/5/2025

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last season's 6.9 clip, James Harden's shots from behind the three-point arc have spiked this season to 8.6 per game.

Out of all players in the NBA, James Harden comes in at the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 34.6 minutes per game on his home court this year.

With respect to shooting, the Clippers's stellar 118.8 points per game rates 8th-best in the league over the last 10 games.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 2.4 threes per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a good matchup.

The LA Clippers are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last year's 6.7 clip, James Harden's off-target shots have risen this year to 9.7 per game.

The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games has been the LA Clippers.

The Clippers check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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