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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2025

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has tallied 26.1 points per game over the last 15 games, 3.6 higher than he's tallied overall this season.

James Harden has tallied 34.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

When it comes to shooting, the LA Clippers's outstanding 119.0 points per game with the home court advantage places 8th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup against Dallas is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most treys per game in the NBA this year (2.4).

The Clippers are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last season's 4.2 clip, James Harden's bricked three-point shots have surged this season to 5.6 per game.

The Clippers have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Clippers grade out 3rdworst in in the league with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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