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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 3/28/2025

Brooklyn Nets vs LA Clippers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has converted 3.8 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year.

James Harden has tallied 35.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 96th percentile.

The matchup against the Nets is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 2nd-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.9).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers grade out 9th-best in in the league with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

James Harden has sunk an impressive 6.5 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 4.2 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to 3-point attempts, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the LA Clippers.

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the LA Clippers.

The Clippers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Brooklyn Nets).

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Nets, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

James Harden will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce stat production across the board.

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