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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs LA Clippers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has attempted 11.2 treys per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 2.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

James Harden has played 39.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 higher than he's played over the course of the season.

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Clippers's excellent 37.6% rate of drained threes while playing on the road rates 6th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 15.6 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, making this a positive matchup.

Relative to last year's 4.2 clip, James Harden's free throws sunk have jumped this year to 6.1 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The LA Clippers have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team.

The Lakers have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease plays for the Clippers.

The Clippers check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

James Harden should experience a decrease in productivity in all facets of the game on account of being on the road in this game.

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