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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2025

LA Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, James Harden places in the 92nd percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 33.9 minutes per game this year.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers rank 10th-best in in the league with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

James Harden has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.7% higher than he's made over the course of the season while at home.

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

James Harden will likely see a rise in effectiveness for all stats considering having the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 4.2 mark, James Harden's off-target three-pointers have risen this year to 5.4 per game.

In terms of scoring, the LA Clippers's subpar 110.3 points per game places 8th-worst in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Lakers are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 5th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.3).

The LA Clippers have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Clippers are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

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