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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2025

Phoenix Suns vs LA Clippers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has averaged 33.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The matchup against the Suns is a strong one; they have allowed the most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 5 games (29.2).

James Harden has made a whopping 6.2 foul shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 4.2 mark last year.

As a team, the Clippers have been terrific at getting to the free-throw line recently: 3rd-best in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home with 23.7 free throws per game.

The matchup against the Suns may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (6th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Harden has attempted and missed 9.6 shots from the field per game this year, quite a bit more than his 6.7 mark last year.

The LA Clippers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-slowest tempo in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the LA Clippers.

The Clippers have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

James Harden will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases stat production for all stats.

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