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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 1/16/2025

Portland Trail Blazers vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has attempted 8.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit more than his 6.9 rate last year.
  • James Harden has played 33.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
  • The Clippers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which should increase plays for the LA Clippers.
  • James Harden has made an impressive 6.2 free throws per game this year, a big improvement over his 4.2 rate last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 29.8% on threes (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, making this a difficult matchup.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Clippers rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
  • James Harden will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers player performance for all stats.

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