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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 1/8/2025

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, James Harden measures in the 92nd percentile, totaling an enormous 21.6 points per game this year.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, James Harden measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 33.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
  • The Clippers are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Clippers grade out 7th-best in in the NBA as the visting team with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
  • James Harden has attempted 7.2 free throws per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 4.8 mark last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Compared to last season's 4.2 mark, James Harden's missed three-point shots have jumped this season to 5.4 per game.
  • The LA Clippers rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
  • This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 20.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-worst in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a challenging matchup.
  • James Harden will likely experience a decrease in production in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this contest.

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