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James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-134).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +100.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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James Harden has scored 21.6 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 92nd percentile.Among all players in the NBA, James Harden registers in the 89th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 33.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.When it comes to offense, the LA Clippers's impressive 47.9% field goal percentage ranks 6th-highest in the league over the last 10 games.The Clippers have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games as the road team.James Harden has attempted 7.3 free throws per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 4.8 mark last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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In contrast to last season's 4.2 mark, James Harden's failed 3-pointers have jumped this season to 5.3 per game.This year, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 39.8% on shot attempts from the field (weakest in the league) against the Timberwolves, creating a tough matchup.The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease plays for the LA Clippers.Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.The matchup against the Timberwolves may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the NBA).
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