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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 5/3/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has scored 22.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's scored overall this year.

James Harden has successfully made 3.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

James Harden has averaged 34.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 94th percentile.

The Clippers rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league as the away team over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, creating a challenging matchup.

The 3rd-slowest tempo away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.

The Clippers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from facing the 6th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).

Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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