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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 4/28/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs LA Clippers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-102/-118).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has sunk 3.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from three overall this year.

James Harden has averaged 34.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.

The matchup against Dallas is a good one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.8).

The 10th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Clippers.

The Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Clippers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 14.9 clip, James Harden's shots have declined this season to 11.6 per game.

The Clippers rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home in regard to 3-point attempts.

The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the league).

James Harden will likely suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all facets of the game considering being on the road in this contest.

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