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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 4/23/2024

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-111/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, James Harden places in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.8 minutes per game playing at home this year.

In terms of three-pointers, the Clippers's stellar 38.4% rate of drained threes comes in as the 4th-most in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.4).

The 7th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Clippers.

The LA Clippers will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-quickest pace visiting offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Harden has notched just 16.7 points per game this year, quite a bit less than his 20.9 points per game last year.

The LA Clippers check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Compared to last season's 5.2 clip, James Harden's free throws sunk have regressed this season to 4.2 per game.

The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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