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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2024

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, James Harden ranks in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.7 minutes per game at home this year.
  • When it comes to threes, the Clippers's outstanding 38.3% rate of made threes rates 4th-best in the league this year.
  • The matchup against Dallas is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.4).
  • The Clippers have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Clippers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Relative to last season's 20.9 clip, James Harden's points per game have decreased this season to 16.6.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 9thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
  • James Harden has sunk a measly 4.2 foul shots per game this year, significantly lower than his 5.2 mark last year.
  • The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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