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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2024

LA Clippers vs Cleveland Cavaliers

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has been on the court for 34.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • When it comes to shooting, the Clippers's terrific 111.6 points per game rates 10th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a favorable one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 2nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (41.4%).
  • The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which should boost possessions for the LA Clippers.
  • James Harden will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually boosts player performance in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Relative to last year's 20.9 mark, James Harden's points per game have decreased this year to 16.7.
  • The 4th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the LA Clippers.
  • The LA Clippers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
  • James Harden has made a lowly 4.2 free throws per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 5.2 rate last year.
  • Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, struggling to draw fouls.

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