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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2024

Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has averaged 34.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile.

When it comes to shooting, the LA Clippers's impressive 116.7 points per game on the road settles in as the 7th-best in the NBA this year.

James Harden has sunk 4.2 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup against the Kings may be a good one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a colossal 7.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Harden has logged a mere 16.8 points per game this season, significantly lower than his 20.9 points per game last season.

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have averaged 30.6% on 3-pointers (9th-weakest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, branding this as a challenging matchup.

The Clippers have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Kings have played at the 7th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the LA Clippers.

The Clippers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

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