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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2024

Orlando Magic vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has attempted 8.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road.
  • James Harden has averaged 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile.
  • The Clippers check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year.
  • This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 42.3% on three-pointers (6th-best in the league) against the Magic, resulting in a strong matchup.
  • James Harden has converted 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's converted over the course of the year while on the road.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 5th-least up-tempo tempo road offense in the league this year has been the Clippers.
  • The Clippers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Orlando Magic).
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers grade out 4thworst in in the NBA as the away team with just 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Magic, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.
  • James Harden will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player performance across the board.

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