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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 3/25/2024

LA Clippers vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+104/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has averaged 34.6 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • With respect to threes, the LA Clippers's terrific 38.9% rate of converted threes comes in as the 3rd-most in the NBA this year.
  • The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should boost plays for the Clippers.
  • James Harden will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually raises player production in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In contrast to last year's 20.9 mark, James Harden's points per game have fallen this year to 17.2.
  • The matchup vs. the Pacers is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers grade out 3rdworst in in the league with just 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • James Harden has made just 4.3 free throws per game this year, significantly less than his 5.2 rate last year.

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