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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2024

LA Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -131.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has attempted 8.8 treys per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 2.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

Among all players in the NBA, James Harden rates in the 93rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 34.6 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

When it comes to shooting, the LA Clippers's stellar 117.6 points per game while playing at home places 8th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

James Harden has made 5.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's converted overall this year.

James Harden should see a rise in effectiveness for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on field goal attempts (weakest in the league) against the Timberwolves, making this a hard matchup.

The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the LA Clippers.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 6thworst in in the NBA while at home with a mere 9.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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