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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2024

LA Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has tallied 34.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
  • As it relates to offense, the LA Clippers's outstanding 117.6 points per game comes in as the 10th-highest in the league this year.
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Clippers.
  • James Harden has successfully made 6.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's converted overall this season.
  • Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (27th-highest in the league) against the Lakers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • James Harden has notched just 17.3 points per game this year, significantly lower than his 20.9 points per game last year.
  • The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when the Lakers are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 11th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).
  • The 7th-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the LA Clippers.
  • The Clippers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 20 games, their opposition has come down with 12.4 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Lakers (saving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense).

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