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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2024

LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has converted 3.4 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted overall this year.

Out of all players in the league, James Harden registers in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 34.7 minutes per game at home this year.

In terms of offense, the LA Clippers's superb 119.8 points per game rates 6th-best in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Kings have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to increase plays for the Clippers.

This year, the other team has captured 9.1 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (losing possessions that could otherwise produce more chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Harden has totaled just 17.3 points per game this year, significantly less than his 20.9 points per game last year.

James Harden has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.2 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season at home.

The matchup against Sacramento is a tough one; when the Kings are away from home, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (15.2).

The 10th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the LA Clippers.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Clippers rank 1stworst in in the NBA at home with just 6.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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