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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2024

LA Clippers vs Detroit Pistons

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+106/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has sunk 4.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year.

Among all players in the NBA, James Harden lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 34.8 minutes per game playing at home this year.

In terms of scoring, the Clippers's stellar 121.5 points per game measures as the 3rd-best in the NBA over the last 20 games.

This year, opposing squads have come down with 9.8 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (losing possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).

James Harden has sunk 4.2 free throws per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Harden has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.2 more than he's averaged overall this season at home.

This year when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged 37.4% on field goal attempts (14th-worst in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, identifying this as a tough matchup.

The 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Clippers.

The LA Clippers are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the 8th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 7thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

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