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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 1/16/2024

LA Clippers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has played 33.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.
  • The Clippers have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
  • The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7).
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise opportunities for the LA Clippers.
  • This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.2 free throws per game (30th-most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, easily managing to draw fouls.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • James Harden has notched a measly 17.0 points per game this season, significantly lower than his 20.9 points per game last season.
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games.
  • The LA Clippers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • In comparison to last season's 5.2 mark, James Harden's foul shots made have been reduced this season to 4.2 per game.

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