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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has sunk 3.3 treys per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year.
  • James Harden has played 33.6 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
  • This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 15.6 field goal attempts per game (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, labeling this as a strong matchup.
  • The Clippers are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Lakers).
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers rank 6thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Clippers have been the 9th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to shot attempts from downtown.
  • The LA Clippers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league while playing on the road this year.
  • James Harden has successfully made a mere 4.4 foul shots per game this season, significantly less than his 5.2 mark last season.
  • James Harden will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

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