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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs LA Clippers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has sunk 4.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's sunk overall this year without the home court advantage.

James Harden has averaged 34.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 90th percentile.

In terms of scoring, the Clippers's stellar 124.1 points per game settles in as the 4th-highest in the NBA over the last 10 games.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 7.5 three attempts per game (29th-highest in the league) against the Pelicans, designating this as a favorable matchup.

The LA Clippers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 19 games (the Pelicans).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA away from their home court this year.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

At home, the New Orleans Pelicans have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

James Harden will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to reduce player production for all stats.

More James Harden Player Props

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