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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 12/29/2023

LA Clippers vs Memphis Grizzlies

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

James Harden has compiled 23.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.9 higher than he's compiled over the course of the year.

James Harden has sunk 4.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season.

In regard to offense, the LA Clippers's superb 124.0 points per game rates 4th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The LA Clippers will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from competing against the 9th-quickest pace-of-play visiting team in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).

James Harden has attempted 6.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.6 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Harden has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.8 higher than he's committed in all games this year at home.

The matchup vs. Memphis is a difficult one; when the Grizzlies are away from home, they have given up the 8th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (17.0).

The 6th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Clippers.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the LA Clippers rank 8thworst in in the league as the home team with just 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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