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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2023

LA Clippers vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-166/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -166.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • James Harden has registered 22.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's registered in all games this season.
  • James Harden has converted 4.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
  • James Harden has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 88th percentile.
  • With respect to shooting, the LA Clippers's stellar 130.2 points per game places 2nd-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The matchup vs. the Celtics is a positive one for threes; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (3.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Clippers have played at the 7th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
  • The Celtics have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the LA Clippers.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, but the Clippers grade out 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
  • Without the home court advantage, the Boston Celtics have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.4) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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