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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Indiana Pacers vs LA Clippers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, James Harden places in the 88th percentile for 3-point shots sunk, totaling 2.4 per game this year.

James Harden has averaged 33.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 89th percentile.

The Clippers are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Pacers).

The Clippers have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

James Harden has converted 6.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The LA Clippers check in as the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup vs. the Pacers is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6).

The 4th-slowest tempo visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Clippers.

At home, the Pacers have given up the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 9 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, making it tough to draw fouls.

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