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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 12/12/2023

LA Clippers vs Sacramento Kings

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, James Harden rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 33.4 minutes per game this year.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 7 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the LA Clippers.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the LA Clippers rank 9thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

This year, the other team has captured 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings (reducing possessions that could otherwise create extra opportunities for offense).

James Harden will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to improve player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 20.9 rate, James Harden's points per game have decreased this year to 16.0.

Relative to last season's 7.3 clip, James Harden's shots from behind the three-point arc have decreased this season to 5.9 per game.

In regard to shooting, the Clippers's lackluster 113.4 points per game as the visting team settles in as the 9th-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. the Kings is a tough one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (15.2).

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.

More James Harden Player Props

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