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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

LA Clippers vs Portland Trail Blazers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, James Harden measures in the 87th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 33.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year.

The Clippers will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 13 games (the Trail Blazers).

The Clippers check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers is a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a massive 4.7 foul shots per game this year (27th-most in the NBA).

James Harden will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 20.9 clip, James Harden's points per game have diminished this year to 15.8.

James Harden has attempted just 5.9 shots from downtown per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 7.3 rate last season.

The Clippers check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup vs. Portland is a challenging one for shot attempts from the field; when the Portland Trail Blazers are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 14th-least field goal attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (13.0).

The LA Clippers have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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