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James Harden

James Harden Points
Player Prop - 11/29/2023

Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers

James Harden Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Clippers will likely see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Kings).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Clippers rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

The Kings have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

In contrast to last season's 5.3 mark, James Harden's free throws converted have risen this season to 4.3 per game.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 4.3 free throws per game (23rd-highest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, finding it easy to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 7.3 clip, James Harden's three-point attempts have been reduced this season to 5.5 per game.

James Harden has been on the court for a mere 32.4 minutes per game this year, significantly lower than his 36.7 minutes per game last year.

James Harden has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this season.

The LA Clippers check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 8th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.5).

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